Monday, August 20, 2018

Will Judge Kavanaugh Be Confirmed and What Type of Justice Will He Be?

Next month Judge Kavanaugh confirmation hearings will start and you can expect political bickering and argument from both sides of the aisle. This is President Trump's second appointment and because Judge Kavanaugh will, if confirmed, be replacing a moderate, this appointment will likely swing the court far to the right. 

But, just who is Judge Kavanaugh? We know he worked in the Bush Administration and on the Kenneth Star Report and he sits on the D.C. Circuit. Senator Schumer has been widely quoted as stating that the best predictor of how he will rule as a Supreme Court Justice is by examining how he ruled while sitting on the D.C. Circuit. I disagree. I was quoted in theAugust 19, 2018, Washington Times as stating:

“He is a prolific writer and not afraid to dissent from the majority,” said Mitchell Rubinstein, a New York based lawyer...Mr. Rubinstein said those rulings suggest the judge is a strong supporter of national security but has been bound by precedent, so dissecting his rulings won’t necessarily predict opinions if he is confirmed to the high court.


It is, therefore, much more important to examine Judge Kavanaugh's non-judicial writings. Thus, in my view, his legal scholarship and his speeches are much more important than what he said in a judicial opinion, whether it be a majority or dissenting opinion-though those opinions do have some value. I just do not believe that they are as important as Senator Schumer believes that they are. 

As for whether he will be confirmed, of course, he will. It is all about the numbers. 



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